Transmitter/receiver market for fiber-optics will reach $20.5 billion by 2006
"The global optoelectronic transmitter/receiver pair consumption is driven by a dramatic increase in bandwidth demand beyond the limits of copper," ElectroniCast s President Stephen Montgomery said. "Technological advances in fiber optics is assuring the migration of fiber closer and closer to the end user. This translates into demand for shorter links where transmitter/receiver pairs represent a substantial share of the total installation cost. The cost concerns are being addressed with the introduction of smaller, lower cost and easier to install transceivers," Montgomery said.
North America led in global consumption with 45 percent or $1.79 billion in 2001. North American consumption will expand in value to $9.4 billion by 2006. North American optoelectronic consumption (use) will be driven by the proliferation of relatively shorter links used in private data and local loop networks. European optoelectronic consumption reaching 22 percent in 2006, will be led by the European Union member states as they transition to open competition in delivery of broadband services to both business and residential customers. Japan/Pacific Rim will demonstrate very strong growth; especially in China for expensive long-haul links.
ElectroniCast s study segments the global fiber optic optoelectronic transmitter/receiver pair consumption into the following major application categories: a. Telecommunications b. Private data networks c. Cable TV d. Other (Military/Aerospace plus Specialty plus Non-production) Domestic consumption includes imported optoelectronics (not embedded in equipment or higher level assembly when shipped), as well as optoelectronics produced in domestic facilities for end use by that country or used in equipment/components produced for domestic consumption or export.
"The fastest fiber optic optoelectronics growth (consumption growth) over the next five years will be in private data communication networks, subscriber distribution and military/aerospace applications. In these markets, especially over the next five years, fiber optics must compete against the cost of unshielded and shielded twisted pair copper wire and coaxial cable, with the low-cost copper electronic terminations and connectors. These are applications initially dominated by low data rates up to 1 Gbps and short to moderate length links (up to a few hundred meters)," Montgomery said.
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