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40 Gbit/s components to roll out in 2004

US analyst says that the installation of 40 Gbit/s-per-channel components into long haul networks will reach 'substantial' levels by 2004.
According to ElectroniCast, the first substantial deployment of 40 Gbit/s-per-channel long-haul network will occur in 2004. This will take hold once key 40 Gbit/s singlemode components have moved from their current qualification/evaluation status to substantial commercial shipments in 2003.

Key 40 Gbit/s-per-channel components include transmitter/receiver pairs (and related modulators), chromatic and polarization mode dispersion compensators and 40 Gbit/s-optimized fiber. 40 Gbit/s single-channel transmitter-receiver (T/R) pairs are forecasted to gain a 59 percent of the over-10 Gbit/s throughput fiber link global market in 2003, reaching $447 million.

The consumption value of multifiber link T/Rs is forecasted to grow faster than 40 Gbit/s-per-channel T/Rs, with the multifiber market share expanding from 41 to 63 percent during 2003-2006. Together the single- and multi-channel T/Rs are predicted to reach a value of $1.87 billion by 2006.

"The pioneering 40 Gbps-per-channel components will achieve substantial quantity consumption growth during the 2003-2006 period, but this will be almost matched by price drops advancing only moderate market value growth. The early market will be dominated by captive (in-house) producers and mature, major independent component vendors," said ElectroniCast Founder and Chairman Jeff Montgomery.

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